I was watching the NFL Draft last night and realized that I might be limiting my abilities by only picking daily sims and never dipping into futures. All you have to do is watch the draft and watch the player reactions to know who is going to have a chip on their shoulder, who is going to be a star, and who is going to be a big-time bust. So why not make some money off of it? We’re going value picks only. Any moron with a computer could write out Chase Young and Joe Burrow takes and look back at the end of the season pretending they’re the smartest people in the room. Those guys are losers. I go for big money picks only.
Pick #1: Xavier McKinney to win the 2020-2021 AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award (+2800)
This guy is the best defensive player in the draft (sorry, Chase Young) and he somehow slipped past the first round? And the oddsmakers don’t think that’s going to light a fire under him? I don’t care where McKinney winds up; he’s going to light the league on fire when he gets there and prove wrong all of the analytics nerds that didn’t value him as a first rounder. (A sneaky good pick here is Patrick Queen at +850 too.)
Pick #2: Justin Herbert to win the 2020-2021 AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award (+1500)
Do I think Justin Herbert is going to have a Hall of Fame career? No. What about just being a solid starter for 10+ years? Maybe. But what I do
think KNOW is that he has the best cast of supporting out of any of the other quarterbacks taken. Getting to throw to Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and Austin Ekeler makes me wonder why Herbert has worse odds than five other offensive players taken in the first round last night.
Pick #3: Mac Jones to win the 2020 NCAA Heisman Trophy (+2800)
I personally don’t believe that there will be a college football season started until January of next year. That means Jones gets an extra five months to learn and thrive for Nick Saban’s Alabama football team that is coming off of its most disappointing season in years. Jones is an easy pick here, and he has some of the highest odds on the market.